Forecasters nudge up growth and trim inflation estimates as tariffs prove lower and less costly than expected in April.

There's a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one in five, in fact, based on the unusually wide spread between the Conference ...

The US economy is expected to slow the rest of the year as tariffs take a bigger toll on consumers and businesses, immigration constraints intensify ...